Damascus has ambitious plans to hike gas output from 580mn cfd to over 1bn cfd by 2023 to meet growing post-war power demand. But with gas processing capacity already stretched, recent impressive production gains may have met their limits.
As the Syrian civil war slowly winds down, President Bashar al-Assad and his government have shifted focus toward reconstruction. Restoring the country’s dilapidated power generation sector is at the top of the list. Years of war saw effective powergen capacity fall to just 4-5GW, well down on theoretical installed capacity of 9.82GW. Syria also boasts considerable hydropower, though its current status remains unclear (see table).
Along with massive territorial losses, the flight of key staff, and chronic shortages of gas and liquid fuel feedstock, this led power output to collapse by almost two-thirds between 2011 and 2016 (see chart).
But today, with refugees slowly...