US Forecasts Up Again But Firms Wary Of Rising Costs

Crude marker WTI has remained below $50/B for the last three weeks. So far at least, there is no sign of US producers trimming their plans to boost output over the coming months. The Permian shale oil basin remains their key investment focus. But they are keeping a wary eye on rising prices.

Latest data from the US government’s Energy Information Administration (EIA) shows that crude output averaged 9.314mn b/d over the week to 5 May, the highest figure since August 2015 and just over 300,000 b/d shy of the record figure set in April that year.

And, looking further ahead, the EIA continues to raise its crude output forecasts for this and next year. Its latest Short Term Energy Outlook, released 9 May, forecasts that output will hit 9.685mn b/d, a new record, in November this year and top 10mn b/d in October 2018 (see chart). (CONTINUED - 1976 WORDS)


chart Us Crude Output Forecast Hiked Again, Now Slated To Top Previous High In November And 10mn B/D By Oct 2018 (Mn B/D)
chart Oxy Permian Liquids Output Rose To 236,000 B/D In Q1 But Still Below Year-Ago Levels (000 B/D)
table April Rig Count: Algeria Drilling Hits 34-Year High, Qatar Equals Record