Government promises of an imminent upturn in oil production appear wildly overoptimistic as South Sudan’s peace process continues to progress only haltingly. There has been no palpable let-up in the fighting, with progress just about sufficient to prevent the process from collapsing completely.

Oil production in South Sudan in 2015 has averaged about 148,000 b/d, according to figures from the Ministry of Petroleum, Mining and Industries, down from about 220,000 b/d before the outbreak of civil war in December 2013, and more than 400,000 b/d prior to South Sudan’s independence in July 2011. (CONTINUED - 2179 WORDS)