North Africa

Algeria

Within Opec, Algeria is perhaps second only to Venezuela in its inability to adapt to lower oil prices since 2014. Massive deficits are the legacy of spending largesse in the wake of the 2011 ‘Arab Spring’. More upstream investment is desperately needed but it's far from clear that the new Oil Law will do the trick.

State of Play

Algeria's chronic economic problems are rooted in an overwhelming reliance on declining oil and gas output. This may fuel political instability for years to come unless the government offers IOCs the incentive to boost investment.

2019 In Numbers
Crude Output 1.03 mn b/d
Crude Exports 0.49* mn b/d
Condensate Exports 0.35 mn b/d
Gas Output 85* bcm
Gas Exports 45* bcm
Oil & Gas export revenue 33.2 $bn

*Estimated

Geopolitical Risk

21 Feb, 2020

Featured

Algeria Posts 5th Straight Trade Deficit

Algeria’s trade deficit hit $6.1bn for 2019 as both prices and volumes fell. Output is in long-term decline and global markets promise no near-term favors.
Algeria's Trade Deficit Hit $6.1bn For 2019 As Oil Prices Fell And Gas Prices Fell More
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NEWS IN BRIEF

Algeria’s 3.5BCM/Y Ain Tsila ‘Ahead Of Schedule’

21 Feb, 2020

Algeria Military Chief Dies

3 Jan, 2020

Algeria To Italy Gas: 2019 Slump, December Leap

3 Jan, 2020

Algeria: New President, Same Protests

13 Dec, 2019

Algeria Heads To The Polls

6 Dec, 2019

Algeria’s Upper House Passes Oil Law, 2020 Budget

29 Nov, 2019

Total’s Anadarko-Algeria Assets Completion: ‘Late 2020’, Perhaps Never

1 Nov, 2019

Mubadala Sells Medgaz Pipeline Stake To Sonatrach, Naturgy

18 Oct, 2019

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SELECTED DATA

1: In Amenas Output Has Gradually Fallen Since A Late 2016 Compression Project Helped Boost 2017 Production To An 8.4BCM Record

2: Algeria's Oil & Gas Revenues Have Slumped Since The 2014 Crash In Oil Prices But Still Make Up Near-40% Of Overall Budget Revenues

3: Algeria's Gas Exports (BCM) Are Lowest Since 1995, While Output Has Slumped From Record Levels In 2016-17 Even With The Onset Of New Projects

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