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OPEC & Global Markets
Markets Face Precarious 2019 Amid Supply Uncertainty
15 Jun 2018
The IEAs’ first oil market outlook for 2019 highlights both the uncertainties surrounding next week’s Opec meeting in Vienna and the toll that the 2014 oil price slump has taken on the group. Although the largest producers in the Opec+ agreement want to boost output, the need for unanimity within Opec could prove a major stumbling block.
The IEA projects that global oil demand will grow by 1.43mn b/d to top 100mn barrels for the first time in 2019. But, despite this acceleration in demand growth from 2018’s 1.36mn b/d, the IEA sees non-Opec production growth outstripping that of demand.
The IEA’s June Oil Market Report (OMR) projects that non-Opec output will rise 2.04mn b/d this year and a further 1.72mn b/d in 2019 – around 75% of which will come from the US. (The US government’s own Energy Information Administration is...
