Surplus To 2018 Leaves OPEC No Good Options

Opec has no good market management options ahead of its get-together in Algiers later this month. Record output from Opec itself has pushed any hope of a market rebalance out to late-2017 at best and Brent prices down to $46/B. Even a notionally successful attempt to support prices will only push rebalance back further, cannibalizing the organization’s future revenue for short-term gains.

The IEA’s latest oil market report projects for the first time that global oil supply will continue to exceed demand in every quarter next year: just three months ago it projected substantial Q3 and Q4 2017 drawdowns and a deficit for the year as a whole. (CONTINUED - 2376 WORDS)

DATA INSIDE THIS ARTICLE

table IEA Supply & Demand Forecasts September 2016 (Mn B/D)
table OPEC Supply & Demand Forecasts, September 2016 (Mn B/D)