Opec, Will It Have To Cut Deeper For Longer?

With less than a month to go until Opec meets in Vienna, expectations are mounting that the group will agree to extend its six-month output cut agreement. April was the last full month of production before the 25 May meeting, but the group remains more than 100,000 b/d above the target level. Even if it does opt to extend the cuts, will this be sufficient to achieve the elusive rebalancing of the market?

Oil prices have slumped in early-May to their lowest level since the run-up to Opec’s last meeting in November, with Brent falling to $48/B. Markets are increasingly concerned that Opec will be incapable of taking the requisite action, much as they were six months ago. (CONTINUED - 1616 WORDS)

DATA INSIDE THIS ARTICLE

chart Opec: More Than Half Way Through Production Curbs, Output Still 160,000 B/D Above Target* (Mn B/D)
table OPEC Well Head Production , April 2017 (Mn B/D, Mees Estimates )
chart Opec Members^ Consistently Claim To Have Cut Output By More Than Secondary Source Assessments (Mar17 Vs Oct16, ‘000 B/D)
chart Russia Inches Towards 10.9mn B/D Output Target*
table OPEC^ 2017 Oil Export Revenues Set To Fall Short Of 2015 Levels ($Bn)